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The Amazon tax

Original article
seths.blog|509 points|350 comments|by herbertl|Aug 18, 2026

The "Amazon Tax"

Seth Godin

Note: While it is called a "tax," it isn't one in the legal sense. Actual taxes typically fund public goods—think of national parks or medical breakthroughs. This "tax" serves a different master.

The Financial Scale of Search Ads

Amazon has turned its search bar into a massive revenue engine. The numbers are staggering:

  • Weekly Revenue: They generate nearly \1,000,000,000$ from search-distorting advertisements every single week.
  • Employee Impact: If Amazon distributed this search ad profit among its staff, every employee could receive a cash bonus of \approx \35,000$ with money still left over.

How the "Tax" Works

In a perfect world, ads help undecided shoppers find a product they didn't know existed. However, that isn't the primary function of Amazon's current system.

Consider the "Air Fryer" scenario:

  1. Amazon's algorithm already knows which air fryer is the best (based on price, reviews, and low return rates).
  2. Ads are used to push a different air fryer to the top, or to ensure the top one stays there.
  3. Consequently, the creator of the best product is forced to pay for ads just to maintain protect the sales they naturally earned.

The Zero-Sum Game

There is a persistent myth that buying ads improves long-term organic search rankings. However, there is very little evidence to support this. Instead, these ads create a zero-sum environment.

Total Category Sales=Constant\text{Total Category Sales} = \text{Constant}Total Category Sales=Constant

In this model, merchants aren't growing the market; they are simply fighting for a slice of a static pie. In fact, some research suggests that ecommerce sites utilizing search ads may actually sell fewer total items than those without them.

A Personal Example

My publisher is currently promoting my new book. The most effective ad they've run targets the specific search query: Seth Godin The Knot.

# The logic of the "Amazon Tax"
if user_search == "Seth Godin The Knot":
    publisher_pays_amazon(1.00) 
    user_buys_book()
# Result: Amazon makes $1 for a sale that was already happening.

The Long-Term Cost to Quality

When the world spends over \50\text{ billion}$ annually on these ads, the cost is eventually passed down. This inefficiency manifests in two dangerous ways:

Shift in FocusOld PriorityNew PriorityResult
Product QualityBrand ReputationClick Budget↑\text{Click Budget} \uparrowClick Budget↑Shoddy, cheap goods
Search UtilityHelpful ResultsAd Revenue↑\text{Ad Revenue} \uparrowAd Revenue↑Worse organic search

The resulting degradation checklist:

  • Producers prioritize "click budgets" over product durability.
  • Amazon is incentivized to make organic results less useful to force more ad spending.
  • Innovation slows as energy is diverted from R&D to bidding wars.

Final Thoughts

For years, Amazon was a champion for the consumer, driving down prices and providing a platform for small merchants who lacked distribution. But the current ad architecture tells a different story. While not illegal, the system is designed to extract value from the very people Amazon claimed to serve.

It is no longer about the best product; it is about who can pay the most to be seen.